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Understanding markets
requires learning fundamental rules that have always been guided by
psychology and economics.
Today's markets function as
the first open-air markets did thousands of years ago.
The only thing new to markets
are the participants new to gaining some share of understanding.
Once they learn the
fundamentals of a specific market, they must integrate the market
participants' net psychology with its underlying
economic fundamentals.
The mixes of experts and
unskilled, winners and losers, speculators and investors
change. Products, services, financial instruments, commodities, buyers,
sellers, supply, demand, prices, and market operatives also change.
Micro changes can be
impossible to understand but fundamental rules guiding macro
fluctuations do not change. Fundamental rules sometimes appear to be
forsaken, but eventually return to control. Micro and macro variances
are related and set the stage for each other.
Mechanical and technological
tools also change, but these only impact the speed of application of
fundamental rules.
Successful participants learn
fundamentals, apply them to their activities in specific markets and
enter the arena knowing they will win
and lose many times.
Success is earned by those who expect both in reasonable proportions and
avoid being wiped out by a few consecutive mistakes.
Arnold N.,
UT |